Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.357336 3.922645 4.522846 5.204422 5.953810 6.749640 7.655639
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.466440 3.227683 4.096085 5.146691 6.370018 7.736832 9.366530
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.838408 2.691190 3.733073 5.067592 6.699768 8.600855 10.951742
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.516362 2.453435 3.668188 5.298772 7.371620 9.863404 13.028549
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.202034 2.159931 3.478654 5.331008 7.772268 10.792031 14.719890
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.038159 2.041785 3.494647 5.610980 8.479239 12.104683 16.903926
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.891315 1.918507 3.479832 5.832885 9.104223 13.319597 18.986430
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.742328 1.760826 3.389954 5.930871 9.552823 14.307380 20.793160
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.589339 1.562580 3.209936 5.875092 9.774117 14.990046 22.210374
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.497246 1.455023 3.156714 5.994271 10.233259 15.989386 24.049308
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.418383 1.354857 3.100987 6.098685 10.666066 16.954778 25.853517
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.320344 1.187154 2.906527 5.966383 10.740637 17.423310 26.996842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.235986 1.025303 2.703833 5.809070 10.776505 17.848542 28.107769
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.179751 0.913120 2.577477 5.765195 10.976702 18.504898 29.542514
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.132374 0.804165 2.440146 5.688575 11.117765 19.075055 30.864797
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.116275 0.787727 2.491334 5.943343 11.783383 20.410762 33.265943
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089742 0.721248 2.424976 5.980458 12.100967 21.244261 34.976915
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.081090 0.719857 2.503131 6.284498 12.854460 22.727298 37.617705
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.070419 0.704624 2.546895 6.524926 13.508985 24.073502 40.081197
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.055977 0.662675 2.521347 6.631060 13.943767 25.098905 42.101377
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.039095 0.592068 2.414054 6.570941 14.097609 25.703944 43.527538
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.030760 0.561889 2.404485 6.699735 14.568795 26.790946 45.653918
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023639 0.531174 2.388384 6.812498 15.012776 27.840240 47.734299